Updates

Legacy blog posts Polling & the Blogosphere Pollsters President Bush

My apologies for the slow rate of posting this week.  I had a number of non-blog deadlines all fall within about week’s time and they have taken their toll.  Among other things, I have not been able to finish my final installment of the RFK Jr./Exit Polls series, but will get to it soon.

Meanwhile, two quick updates on news about polls:

  • Charles Franklin updates his Bush job approval rating charts to include new releases from NBC/Wall Street Journal and Fox News.  The regression estimate based on all public polls now shows a clear though modest upward trend — a roughly two percentage point increase since mid-May. 
  • The RealClearPolitics blog has a noteworthy apology regarding an article they had run earlier this week by MP friend Tom Riehle of RT Strategies.  Riehle’s article cited survey results from a recent RT Strategies poll to argue that Democrats would be foolish to attack Wal-Mart during the 2006 elections.   Riehle inexplicably failed to disclose that the data he cited came from survey questions paid for by a client, a pro-Wal-Mart group known as Working Families for Wal-Mart.  A post that appeared earlier tonight on the RealClearPolitics blog apologized for the omission and noted that Riehle has "acknowledged and apologized for the mistake" as well.

Whatever one thinks of polls sponsored by partisans or interest groups, the issue of disclosure is quite simple.   Anyone — pollster or not — who cites numbers from a poll sponsored by an interest group should disclose the nature of that sponsorship.  A pollster who cites numbers paid for by a partisan client, absolutely positively needs to disclose both the sponsorship and their economic interest in it. This is not a close call. 

RealClearPolitics deserves credit for posting a speedy and complete clarification and linking to it from a prominent spot on their front page. 

Mark Blumenthal

Mark Blumenthal is the principal at MysteryPollster, LLC. With decades of experience in polling using traditional and innovative online methods, he is uniquely positioned to advise survey researchers, progressive organizations and candidates and the public at-large on how to adapt to polling’s ongoing reinvention. He was previously head of election polling at SurveyMonkey, senior polling editor for The Huffington Post, co-founder of Pollster.com and a long-time campaign consultant who conducted and analyzed political polls and focus groups for Democratic party candidates.