More in Immigration

April 5, 2006

Gallup's Frank Newport posted a multi-poll analysis this morning on American's attitudes toward immigration policy. It is similar to some thoughts I posted on Monday but demonstrates even more vividly the wide variation in support for guest worker proposals across...[More...]


Immigration: Ask Many Questions, Not One

April 3, 2006

Over the weekend, Mickey Kaus criticized an immigration question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording." While I would not have been quite so harsh, I agree that the specific question Kaus complained about (Q9)...[More...]


Newport's Answer to Kurtz

March 30, 2006

A belated link: Two weeks ago, the Washington Post's Howard Kurtz asked (and Mickey Kaus amplified) a question in his blog about "only compar[e] figures to their own past surveys, when they're fully aware of the others?" I posted some...[More...]


The AMA Spring Break Survey - Part II

March 29, 2006

Picking up where we left off yesterday, the AMA's Spring Break survey has problems other than the disclosure of its methodology. We must also consider the misleading reporting of results from the survey that were based on less than the...[More...]


Another "New Low?"

March 15, 2006

In his Washington Post "Media Notes" blog, Howard Kurtz raises an important question about the coverage of the polls showing "new lows" for George Bush (hat tip: Kaus). Kurtz and Kaus are right to wonder if the "new low" headlines...[More...]


Gallup & The Samplemiser

February 15, 2006

The latest poll release from Gallup includes what appears to be a new approach for reporting their data on the job approval rating of President George Bush. They include a "three-poll rolling average" as a "smoothed approval estimate" based on...[More...]


Compared to What?.

November 15, 2005

And then there were nine. With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this month and all nine show lowest ever job ratings for President Bush. Again (for those who may have...[More...]


When is a Poll Really a Poll?

July 8, 2005

Reader PW emailed yesterday with a question about a poll that appeared on Tuesday in the blogosphere. "Is there anything you can quickly glean from this that would suggest that it is obviously phony . . . Or perhaps real?"...[More...]


Battleground States

October 22, 2004

Perhaps because I spend more time writing a blog these days and less time reading them, but I have seen very little attention given to this fact: In every poll which has released results for some definition of "battleground" states,...[More...]


Incumbent Rule: A Caution and a Plea

October 21, 2004

As many of you may have discovered the "incumbent rule" (and this site) through yesterday's post on Ohio, I want to add one important point: But be careful not to make the same mistake some made back in August and...[More...]