CT: Party ID from Quinnipiac Poll
August 21, 2006
In the busy run-up to a long needed vacation, I have not had a chance to write about the new Quinnipiac Connecticut poll released last week. However, I did want to note (and promote) the very helpful comment from reader...[More...]
The Pew Media Study
August 2, 2006
The Pew Research Center released results a few days ago from its biennial study of American's media consumption habits (report, printable PDF, topline questionnaire). Although it may have been lost amidst a rush of major news stories and other polls...[More...]
It's What We Call Spin?
June 29, 2006
Thanks to alert reader LS who tipped me off to an old story that I had missed, but that is still worthy of notice on MP. Nearly two months ago, Dick Leggitt, the campaign manager for Colorado Republican Senate candidate...[More...]
The Battle of the Bulge Poll
June 23, 2006
Last Sunday, Bush press secretary Tony Snow speculated about what polls might have shown during World War II: "If somebody had taken a poll in the Battle of the Bulge, I dare say people would have said, 'Wow, my goodness,...[More...]
Update II: Military Social Conservatives
June 21, 2006
It gets more interesting. Here is the promised update to the posts of the last two days, based on some fascinating analysis sent by Jason Dempsey, an Army Infantry officer and Columbia PhD candidate currently completing a teaching tour at...[More...]
Update: Military Social Conservatives
June 20, 2006
Let's hear it for MP's readers. Both in comments and via email, I have heard from political scientists pointing to much better sources of data on military attitudes than what I cited yesterday. These confirm that, contrary to Peggy Noonan's...[More...]
No "Social Conservatives" in the Career Military?
June 19, 2006
A reader emailed to ask about a comment made in a column last week by the Wall Street Journal's Peggy Noonan (as noted by Mickey Kaus): I've never met a career military man who was a conservative on social issues....[More...]
Corrections!: An AMA Spring Break Update
June 1, 2006
We have had some new developments over the last few days regarding the online Spring Break study conducted earlier this year by the American Medical Association (AMA). The story, as long time readers will recall, involved an AMA release that...[More...]
Post/ABC on NSA Records - Part II
May 17, 2006
As expected, Washington Post and ABC News continued conducting interviews over the weekend and released complete results Tuesday afternoon. The release last Friday morning was based on the first 505 interviews -- the complete sample consisted of 1,103 adults. The...[More...]
NSA Records Polling - Update
May 16, 2006
I want to continue to discuss the differences in the polls on the NSA records database issue, especially as new surveys are released. We have no new polls to consider for the moment, but I do want to pass on...[More...]
Gallup on NSA Phone Records
May 15, 2006
Another day and yet another poll on the NSA phone records controversy. This one, conducted on Friday and Saturday by USAToday and Gallup (n=809, margin of sampling error +/- 4%), takes a far more in-depth look at the issue that...[More...]
The Latest from CBS/NYT
May 10, 2006
Another day, another very high profile poll release. Today, it's the latest from the CBS/New York Times (see NYTimes article, results; CBS article, results, Medicare results). A few quick thoughts at the end of another busy day: The true poll...[More...]
An "Immigration-Enforcement" Third Party?
April 28, 2006
Yesterday, our friend Mickey Kaus highlighted a question from a recent Rasmussen automated survey worth examining a bit more closely. The question asks voters to choose between "generic" Republican and Democratic candidates (with no stated immigration position) and a third...[More...]
The Question That Answers Itself
April 21, 2006
A few weeks ago, our friend Mickey Kaus described a question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording." I was not ready to be quite so harsh about that particular poll. Well, this week courtesy...[More...]
More in Immigration
April 5, 2006
Gallup's Frank Newport posted a multi-poll analysis this morning on American's attitudes toward immigration policy. It is similar to some thoughts I posted on Monday but demonstrates even more vividly the wide variation in support for guest worker proposals across...[More...]
Immigration: Ask Many Questions, Not One
April 3, 2006
Over the weekend, Mickey Kaus criticized an immigration question asked on a recent Time Magazine poll as having "comically biased wording." While I would not have been quite so harsh, I agree that the specific question Kaus complained about (Q9)...[More...]
Newport's Answer to Kurtz
March 30, 2006
A belated link: Two weeks ago, the Washington Post's Howard Kurtz asked (and Mickey Kaus amplified) a question in his blog about "only compar[e] figures to their own past surveys, when they're fully aware of the others?" I posted some...[More...]
The AMA Spring Break Survey - Part II
March 29, 2006
Picking up where we left off yesterday, the AMA's Spring Break survey has problems other than the disclosure of its methodology. We must also consider the misleading reporting of results from the survey that were based on less than the...[More...]
The AMA Spring Break Survey - Part I
March 28, 2006
Last week, MP discussed a not-quite projective study of evacuees from Hurricane Katrina published by the New York Times. I noted the effort made by the Times to differentiate their study from a "scientific poll" and to make clear that...[More...]
On Random Sampling and NYT Katrina Evacuee Study
March 23, 2006
An article in yesterday's New York Times on interviews conducted among Katrina evacuees raises some very important questions about how to use a survey-like study that is not quite a projective survey. In this case, in MP's view, the Times...[More...]
Gallup CNN Break-Up
March 21, 2006
And speaking of Gallup... Here at MP, we are not prone to posting gossipy items about the polling industry, largely because what little gossip MP hears, is well... not worth posting. Today however, thanks to TVNewser (via Hotline On Call),...[More...]
Another "New Low?"
March 15, 2006
In his Washington Post "Media Notes" blog, Howard Kurtz raises an important question about the coverage of the polls showing "new lows" for George Bush (hat tip: Kaus). Kurtz and Kaus are right to wonder if the "new low" headlines...[More...]
Zogby Troop Poll: The Random Probability Sample
March 3, 2006
On the Zogby poll of U.S. troops in Iraq, I need to make one point that was implicit in my comments on Wednesday a bit more explicit. While much is shrouded in secrecy, one aspect of the methodology is clear...[More...]
Zogby Troop Poll: Full Results Posted & the Hewitt Interview
March 2, 2006
Several readers have asked whether Zogby had released the full text of the survey questions and full results. MP asked for and received the full text earlier today and was planning to post it this evening, but then discovered that...[More...]
Zogby Troop Poll: An Odd Correction
March 2, 2006
I made a minor correction to yesterday's post on the Zogby poll of troops in Iraq that I want to note for regular readers and explain in more detail. First, the sponsor that funded Zogby's poll was not Le Moyne...[More...]
The Zogby Poll of Troops in Iraq
February 28, 2006
[3/1 - Note to regular readers: I have added additional thoughts at the end of this post]. MP has received email from several readers asking about a just released survey of troops currently serving in Iraq conducted by Zogby International...[More...]
Ports: CBS News & Cook/RT
February 28, 2006
Two new polls confirm the Rasmussen result discussed yesterday that shows Americans overwhelmingly oppose the deal to allow an Arab company to operate U.S. shipping ports. The new surveys from CBS News (story, Bush results, Katrina results) and the Cook...[More...]
Gallup's Newport on Real Wiretapping Polls
February 24, 2006
Let's stay on the subject of the domestic eavesdropping issue, but go back to what real polls have to say about it. Today, Gallup's Frank Newport posted a highly relevant analysis looking at results from a number of different polling...[More...]
SurveyUSA Copycat?
February 17, 2006
A quick post on an odd news item on automated pollster Survey USA (via alert reader LS). The Glens Falls NY Post-Star reported a week ago that SurveyUSA is offering a $1000 reward for a tape recording of an automated...[More...]
Pew Research Center: No Bounce
February 8, 2006
Another all too busy day at MP world headquarters leaves me just enough time to pass along links to the latest survey from the Pew Research Center (report, topline questionnaire, complete printable PDF, conducted Feb. 1-5, n=1,502 adults). The new...[More...]
The Numbers Guy on Domestic Eavesdropping Polls
February 7, 2006
Ah the travails of the not-yet-full-time blogger. Expecting an unusually busy day, I woke early this morning to write up a post on this week's column by Carl Bialik, the Wall Street Journal's "Numbers Guy." Then I somehow managed to...[More...]
SOTU Update: Putting it Into Context
February 6, 2006
I cannot help adding one more footnote to our discussion about "instant reaction" polls conducted after the State of the Union (SOTU) speech last week. One highly valued MP reader emailed to say I had wrongly implied that the networks...[More...]
SOTU Update: Nielsen Ratings
February 3, 2006
One of the big questions I have about the instant reaction polling on the State of the Union (SOTU) address is the size of the audience and how it has changed over the years. A release yesterday by Nielsen Media...[More...]
SOTU Instant Reaction Update
February 1, 2006
As expected, both Gallup and CBS News conducted instant analysis surveys among debate watchers last night. Last night, Gallup called back respondents they had interviewed a few days ago (1/29-30) and interviewed 465 who said they watched the speech (the...[More...]
SOTU: On Bounces and Spin
January 31, 2006
From the polling perspective, if recent history repeats itself, we can assume two things will occur after the President's State of the Union (SOTU) speech tonight. First, CNN/USAToday/Gallup and perhaps CBS News will conduct instant reaction polls among speech watchers...[More...]
Pre-SOTU Polls
January 30, 2006
The last week brought a batch of new surveys from the national pollsters. While these include new questions that go into great depth on perceptions of the state of the union, corruption in DC and NSA wiretapping, on balance they...[More...]
Diageo/Hotline Updates
January 21, 2006
A very busy end-of-week left me with only enough time to note the latest Diageo/Hotline poll which was released on Thursday (press release, results, presentation) that helps bring us up to on recent MP posts on outliers and Hillary Clinton's...[More...]
Polling on Impeachment - Part 1
January 19, 2006
At a town hall meeting in San Francisco on Monday, according to a report in the LA Times, Democratic Minority Leader. Nancy Pelosi had to shout "to be heard above the boos and catcalls" when she "rejected calls for President...[More...]
More Bush Job Rating Polls
January 17, 2006
Just have time to post links to a few new surveys that included the Bush job rating that I had not seen last week or that have been released since. These results are consistent with those summarized here last week....[More...]
On "Oversamples" and the AP-IPSOS MLK Holiday Poll
January 16, 2006
The Associated Press, in its usual partnership with IPSOS, released a survey yesterday (story, results & methodology) on attitudes on today's holiday honoring Martin Luther King, Jr. and his dream of racial equality: Three-quarters of those surveyed say there has...[More...]
On Fox, Pew, Outliers and the Bush Trend
January 13, 2006
Today I want to report with an assortment of observations relevant to our recent discussions of the Bush job rating and "house effects," including comments from Charles Franklin's Political Arithmetik on the recent Pew survey and a new poll from...[More...]
So When Is An Attitude Really An Attitude?
January 12, 2006
I want to add a few quick follow-up thoughts on yesterday's topic: The large differences across four national surveys in the number who offered an opinion on whether Samuel Alito should be confirmed as a Supreme Court justice. What should...[More...]
Three New Polls
January 10, 2006
CBS News, ABC/Washington Post and Gallup/CNN/USAToday each released new surveys over the last 24 hours. The three polls each take in-depth looks at a variety of issues, including the Alito nomination, the NSA wiretaps, the Iraq War and the Abramoff/ethics...[More...]
Military Times Survey: Update
January 5, 2006
A quick update on yesterday's post on the Military Times poll of its readers on active duty military service. I noted that the raw data was available to anyone with the time and inclination to import it into their statistical...[More...]
The Military Times Survey
January 4, 2006
The Military Times publications released a unique new survey yesterday of active duty members of the US armed services who also subscribe to their newspapers. It shows that while morale remains high, "support for President Bush and for the war...[More...]
'Twas the Survey Before Christmas...
December 23, 2005
As things wind down a bit before the holidays, I want to put a little perspective on our recent speculation about the trends in attitudes about President Bush. It may be helpful to think about two different questions: (1) Have...[More...]
Not Such An Outlier After All?
December 19, 2005
The Diageo/Hotline Poll...(story, press release, full results) shows a very different result for the Bush job rating: 50% approve, 47% disapprove. Is this, as our friend Professor Franklin asks, "a fluke or a harbinger?" MP guesses it's the former (and...[More...]
Outliers Happen
December 18, 2005
Two new national surveys released late last week add yet another wrinkle to the question of whether the approval ratings of President Bush are on the rise since late October, because they are at once very similar in methodology and...[More...]
Bush Bump-Up Stall?: Pew, NBC/WSJ & Zogby
December 15, 2005
Yesterday saw releases of two new national surveys by the Pew Research Center (report, questionnaire, tables) and NBC/Wall Street Journal (full results & coverage by WSJ and MSNBC). Combined with a new Zogby survey released on Monday, we now have...[More...]
Zogby, Wal-Mart & Ethics
December 14, 2005
Last week, syndicated columnist Joel Mowbray took pollster John Zogby to task in the Washington Times for "serious ethical issues which call into question the integrity of the much-ballyhooed survey" on the retailer Wal-Mart. Zogby's poll, which had been commissioned...[More...]
Bush "Bump Up" Update: Gallup/CNN/USAToday
December 12, 2005
The National Journal is reporting this morning, via the (subscription only) Hotline Wake-Up Call, that the latest survey from Gallup shows: " Pres. Bush's approval rating at 43% among adults, up from 38% in late 11/05. 52% disapprove." Yesterday's video...[More...]
Bush "Bump Up" Update: CBS/NYTimes Poll
December 8, 2005
The latest CBS News/New York Times survey out this morning (conducted December 2-6) shows a five percentage point gain in President Bush's approval rating (from 35% to 40%), confirming similar gains apparent in other recent surveys. CBS characterizes it as...[More...]
A Bush Revival?
December 6, 2005
Are the Bush job approval numbers reviving? That is what a lot of MP's readers have been wondering, especially those who (like Mickey Kaus) follow the Rasmussen automated tracking survey, which has shown slight upward trend since late October (from...[More...]
Polling the "Strategy for Victory"
December 5, 2005
A story on the front of Sunday's New York Times shines new light on the work on support for the Iraq War by Chris Gelpi, Peter Feaver, and Jason Reifler that MP wrote about last summer. With the work of...[More...]
The RT Strategies Iraq Poll
December 2, 2005
Yesterday's front-page analysis of President Bush's Iraq speech earlier this week by the Washington Post's Peter Baker included a reference to some recent survey data: Administration officials believe much of the public is still eager for victory and open to...[More...]
Pre-Thanksgiving Odds & Ends
November 23, 2005
Just enough time today to pass on a few odds and ends before taking a few days off for the holiday: A New Poll - We have another national public to watch. It is a partnership of The Cook Political...[More...]
Cillizza's Polling Fix
November 16, 2005
MP readers may want to check out the new feature from Washington Post blogger/columnist Chris Cillizza (aka "The Fix") called "Parsing the Polls." Each week, says Cillizza, We'll look at national polling as well as surveys conducted in individual House,...[More...]
Compared to What?.
November 15, 2005
And then there were nine. With the latest survey out last night from Gallup/CNN/USAToday, we now have nine national surveys released this month and all nine show lowest ever job ratings for President Bush. Again (for those who may have...[More...]
News Roundup: The Hits Keep on Coming
November 14, 2005
Last week, this site quietly passed the milestone of one million page views, as tracked by Sitemeter. Now as MP will be the first to note, the "page views" statistic may tell us more about the mechanical function of a...[More...]
Watch Out for the Easy Out
October 29, 2005
As of last week (before yesterday's indictment news) what portion of Americans believed "Bush administration officials" did something "illegal or unethical" in connection with the leaking of a CIA operative's identity? CNN's summary of the latest CNN/USAToday/Gallup poll may have...[More...]
How Low Can It Go? - Epilogue
October 25, 2005
Two days of airports and MP continues to play catch-up at the office, so just another quickie post today: Today's streaming video "Daily Briefing" from Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport provides a helpful epilogue to our "How Low Can It Go"...[More...]
California Propositions: Pollster Showdown
October 24, 2005
MP apologizes for sparse posting over the next day or so, as his "day job" with little time for blogging. In the meantime, readers may want to consider an emerging polling controversy in California, where pollsters have been asking about...[More...]
How Low Can It Go?
October 19, 2005
Following up on yesterday's post, reader ZH asked some reasonable questions about presidential approval ratings: How low does a president's approval rating get, realistically speaking? What is the lowest recorded rating ever? How about in recent memory? Back in March,...[More...]
Diageo/Hotline Poll: Same Poll, New Name
October 19, 2005
The latest poll is out from National Journal's Hotline, although now with a new sponsor and two new names: The Diageo/Hotline poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. The pollster of record is still Ed Reilly, although his company Westhill Partners was...[More...]
Getting Past the Noise: Bush Slide Continues
October 18, 2005
The release of new results from six major public pollsters over the last two weeks provides a great opportunity to learn something about both the limitations of survey research and about its power. Most political surveys are based on random...[More...]
UPDATE: 2% Among African-Americans?
October 15, 2005
A quick update on yesterday's post: First, some of those who left comments yesterday seem to miss the main point. MP has no doubt that African-Americans express nearly monolithic disapproval of President Bush, far more than any other demographic subgroup....[More...]
2% Among African-Americans?
October 14, 2005
Has George Bush's job approval among African Americans really fallen to just 2%? While MP was off atoning for his sins, several national pollsters released new surveys. More on the bigger picture later, but for now let's focus on that...[More...]
SurveyUSA on Miers
October 7, 2005
MP somehow overlooked that Survey USA is now running two separate automated tracking polls on the Miers nomination (see previous commentary on their recorded voice methodology). One track has been following Harriet Miers’ favorable rating since last Saturday, when rumors...[More...]
CBS on Miers
October 7, 2005
Last night, CBS News released a new and very comprehensive survey conducted Monday through Wednesday evenings this week (The CBS web site has complete results plus a two-part written analysis covering the Miers nomination, the Bush job rating and more)....[More...]
First Miers Reaction from Gallup
October 5, 2005
This morning brings a new Gallup/CNN/USAToday poll conducted Monday and Tuesday evenings (10/3-4) with reaction to the Harriet Miers nomination. Both the USAToday and CNN stories emphasize that Americans are less enthusiastic about Miers than they were of John Roberts...[More...]
Happy New Year
October 3, 2005
MP apologizes for the slack posting over the last week or so, especially since the arrival of the year 5766* promises to put us out of commission, blogwise, for at least another 24 hours. In the meantime, true polling junkies...[More...]
Bush Job Approval Up?
September 30, 2005
Let's continue to obsess over the recent variation on the job approval rating of President George W. Bush and maybe learn something about sampling error in the process. Two new polls released in the last 24 hours, one by CNN/USAToday/Gallup...[More...]
Gallup's Poll on Polls
September 27, 2005
Today's video briefing by Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport had some polling on, of all things, polling. It raises a few questions that MP finds fascinating. First, a quick summary of the data from a Gallup poll conducted September 12-15:** 73%...[More...]
Katrina: More from AP-IPSOS & SUSA
September 21, 2005
Two quick updates, as MP is rushing to catch a train:** AP-IPSOS has a new survey out this morning conducted September 16-18 (and AP has their usual summary article). The job rating for President George W. Bush is 40% approve,...[More...]
Katrina: More from Gallup/CNN/USAToday
September 20, 2005
The Gallup/CNN/USAToday partnership released a new survey last night that shows President George W. Bush’s approval rating at 40%, disapproval at 57%. Approval of the way Bush is handling “the response to Hurricane Katrina” now stands at a similar 41%...[More...]
Katrina: New Data and Charts from SUSA
September 19, 2005
A quick note: SurveyUSA has continuesd to track reaction to the response to Hurricane Katrina in surveys conducted over the last week. The latest installment, released this morning, shows approval for President Bush's "response to Hurricane Katrina" at 40%, disapproval...[More...]
Katrina: Evacuees & Random Samples
September 16, 2005
Today we have two different perspectives on "random sampling" in gauging reactions to the disaster from Katrina evacuees living in shelters in Texas. One comes from a true random sample survey conducted by the Washington Post, the Henry J. Kaiser...[More...]
Katrina: And even more from CBS/NYT, NBC/WSJ, SUSA & Pew
September 15, 2005
Three new polls out today, plus another report on a poll released a few days ago. Here are links and a few quick headlines. 1) A new CBS/New York Times survey is out, the third in three weeks for CBS...[More...]
Katrina Synthesis: Bush Job Rating
September 14, 2005
On this, MP's tenth post on reactions to the Katrina Hurricane, he feels compelled to remind readers of the continuing human need. Not that you need reminding. We know from yesterday's Washington Post/ABC News poll that 60% of Americans say...[More...]
Katrina: Yet More From WaPo/ABC & Gallup
September 13, 2005
The latest surveys from Gallup/CNN/USAToday and the Washington Post/ABC News were released last night that collectively take the most in-depth look yet at public opinion at the response to Hurricane Katrina. No quick blog post could do justice to all...[More...]
Katrina: Time & Newsweek
September 12, 2005
Over the weekend, both Time and Newsweek magazines released surveys that confirm results from other organizations in the field last week. Newsweek polled 1,009 adults Thursday and Friday evenings last week (9/8-9); Time surveyed 1,000 adults on Wednesday and Thursday...[More...]
Katrina: AP-IPSOS and More from SUSA
September 9, 2005
Two news polls today on the response to Hurricane Katrina: another one-night update from SurveyUSA and a three-night survey just completed by AP-IPSOS. The SurveyUSA poll conducted yesterday shows 42% approve and 53% disapprove of George W. Bush's "response to...[More...]
Katrina: More from Pew Research Center
September 8, 2005
[Support Katrina relief!] The Pew Research Center has just released results of another survey conducted over the last two nights (9/6-7, n=1,000 adults, sampling error 3.5%). The results are remarkably similar to the CBS News poll released this morning that...[More...]
Katrina: More from CBS, Zogby & SUSA
September 8, 2005
[Support Katrina relief!] Three new polls out this morning featuring job ratings of George W. Bush's handling of the response to Hurricane Katrina. All three show a majority of Americans expressing disapproval: CBS News interviewed 725 adults over the last...[More...]
Katrina Polling: Gallup Weighs In
September 7, 2005
[Support Katrina relief!] The Gallup Organization today released results from a new poll on the response to Hurricane Katrina, sponsored by CNN and USAToday. This new survey goes into depth on perceptions of the severity of the storm (really bad),...[More...]
Katrina Polling - More from SurveyUSA
September 6, 2005
[Support Katrina relief!] SurveyUSA's Jay Leve emailed with some strong objections to my characterizations earlier today of their ongoing tracking of public reaction to the Katrina Hurricane and its aftermath. I have posted those below, and they are worth reading...[More...]
Katrina Polling - Part One
September 6, 2005
[Support Katrina relief!] Obviously, we have all been horrified by the human tragedy wrought by Hurrican Katrina. As a pollster and student of public opinion, MP has also been very curious about how other Americans are reacting to the tragedy...[More...]
2008 Presidential Polling in 2005: a REALLY Big Grain of Salt
August 12, 2005
The folks at National Journal's Hotline raised an interesting question yesterday. How useful are the head-to-head preference polls being released now on the White House 2008 primary races? Not very, they concluded. MP concurs, only more so. Since the Hotline...[More...]
Bush Slide?
August 9, 2005
The must-read for today is the NY Times op-ed piece, by Pew's Andrew Kohut and Peter Hoey, that compares public opinion and major events during the first half-year of the second term for Presidents Nixon, Reagan Clinton and Bush. It's...[More...]
About that YouGov Poll of British Muslims
July 28, 2005
Reader BK emailed with a question about a survey of Muslims in the United Kingdom conducted for the London Daily Telegraph by the company YouGov just after the first London bombings. It asked respondents: "Do you think the bombing attacks...[More...]
Sneaky Plame Poll? Part II
July 27, 2005
So, as promised in Part I, let's continue to consider the post on Redstate.org last week by Jay Cost (aka the Horserace Blogger) that sharply criticized a recent ABC news poll on the Plame/Wilson/Rove imbroglio. Cost had some additional criticisms...[More...]
Sneaky Plame Poll? A Reality Check
July 21, 2005
Earlier this week, ABC News released poll results concerning the federal investigation of the leak of CIA operative Valerie Plame's identity. The poll showed a sharp decline in the percentage of Americans who say that the White House is "fully...[More...]
Iraq the Vote: More from CBS
July 18, 2005
Unfortunately, it's a busy day in MP-land, with time for just another quick update on recent polling on retrospective and prospective views of the war in Iraq. As noted here two weeks ago, CBS News included two questions on an...[More...]
Iraq the Vote: Hotline/Westhill Takes Up the Challenge
July 14, 2005
Another update on the work of Duke academics Peter Feaver, Christopher Gelpi and Jason Reifler concerning the underpinnings of popular support for the war in Iraq (covered here, here and here). The results of the latest poll from The Hotline...[More...]
When is a Poll Really a Poll?
July 8, 2005
Reader PW emailed yesterday with a question about a poll that appeared on Tuesday in the blogosphere. "Is there anything you can quickly glean from this that would suggest that it is obviously phony . . . Or perhaps real?"...[More...]